Course breakdown, historical weather, field analysis, and pacing notes.
A fast, flat course in Cozumel
Cozumel, Mexico · September 20, 2026
IRONMAN 70.3 Cozumel takes place in Cozumel, Mexico on September 20, 2026. The half-distance course covers a 1.88 km swim, 89.8 km bike, and a 20.8 km run. Heat management and hydration strategy will be critical on race day.
Swim Course
Athletes face a 1.88 km swim in ocean conditions. Water temperatures are above the wetsuit-legal threshold, meaning a non-wetsuit swim.
Bike Course
The bike course covers 89.8 km across flat terrain.
Run Course
The run covers 20.8 km with 12m of climbing. Athletes complete 2 laps, so crowd support and mental pacing strategies play a big role.
Race Day Conditions
Based on historical averages, expect temperatures around 28°C on race day. Ice, sponges, and a conservative opening pace will pay dividends in the run. Winds average 12 km/h.
Race Field Insights
Aggregated from 6,157 finishers (2022–2025)
Finish Time Distribution
How the Median Finisher Spends Race Day
What Each Pace Looks Like
Fast | Solid | Median | Back of Pack | Slow (P90) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swim | 30m 35s | 34m 12s | 38m 45s | 44m 55s | 50m 59s |
| Bike | 2h 32m | 2h 43m | 2h 56m | 3h 11m | 3h 27m |
| Run | 1h 49m | 2h 04m | 2h 23m | 2h 45m | 3h 06m |
| Finish | 5h 07m | 5h 37m | 6h 12m | 6h 50m | 7h 27m |
Performance starts dropping over 22°C and humidity makes it worse. How heat compounds across the bike and run — and why the bike hides it.
Read postSame FTP on two different courses produces two completely different races. Elevation, wind, and shelter change what every watt is worth.
Read postGet a complete pacing strategy for every discipline — built from this course, forecast weather, and your fitness.
Independent analysis. KeiroLabs is not the event organizer and is not affiliated with the race organizer.