Course breakdown, historical weather, and field analysis.
Busselton Jetty swim, two laps through Tuart Forest, foreshore marathon
Busselton, Australia · December 6, 2026
IRONMAN Western Australia pairs a Busselton Jetty swim in Geographe Bay with a flat 180 km two-lap bike along the coast and into Tuart Forest National Park, and a multi-lap marathon along the foreshore. One of the flattest 140.6 courses on the IRONMAN circuit — wind, not gradient, is what shapes the day.
Swim Course
The 3.8 km swim runs alongside the Busselton Jetty in the sheltered waters of Geographe Bay. Water sits around 19–20°C in December, with the bay's sheltered nature keeping conditions calm relative to the open Indian Ocean on the jetty's far side.
Bike Course
The 180 km bike is a two-lap course: each lap heads out along the Geographe Bay coast and into Tuart Forest National Park before returning. Terrain is flat — 79 m of gain over the whole 180 km — so the variable that matters here is wind, not gradient. The prevailing summer sea breeze sits at ~21 km/h from the south-southeast on average, and how it interacts with the two-lap shape decides whether the day runs fast or slow.
Run Course
The marathon is a multi-lap course along the Busselton foreshore, hugging Geographe Bay throughout. Terrain is flat — 65 m of gain over 42 km — but flat doesn't mean free: a marathon off a fast bike still punishes anyone who arrives at T2 with too much spent, and on a course this exposed the sea breeze hits the field on every lap.
Race Day Conditions
Early December in Busselton is typically mild — daytime around 21°C on average, with the day's range widening from cool morning starts in the low-teens to mid-20s afternoons. The defining weather feature is the persistent south-southeast sea breeze, averaging ~21 km/h. On a course where 79 m of bike elevation means wind decides the bike split more than climbing does, that breeze is the variable to plan around.
Race Field Insights
Aggregated from 4,455 finishers (2022–2025)
Finish Time Distribution
How the Median Finisher Spends Race Day
What Each Pace Looks Like
Fast | Solid | Median | Back of Pack | Slow (P90) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swim | 1h 01m | 1h 08m | 1h 18m | 1h 28m | 1h 41m |
| Bike | 4h 59m | 5h 23m | 5h 53m | 6h 27m | 7h 02m |
| Run | 3h 32m | 3h 56m | 4h 33m | 5h 20m | 6h 06m |
| Finish | 9h 53m | 10h 51m | 12h 04m | 13h 35m | 14h 59m |
Same FTP on two different courses produces two completely different races. Elevation, wind, and shelter change what every watt is worth.
Read postThe run didn't break because you ran too hard. Swim debt, bike fatigue, and compounding decisions determine your marathon before you start it.
Read postGet a complete pacing strategy for every discipline — built from this course, forecast weather, and your fitness.
Independent analysis. KeiroLabs is not the event organizer and is not affiliated with the race organizer.